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July 03, 2020, 07:54:45 am
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Author Topic: prediction time...who will be the next Governor?  (Read 12009 times)
RecycleMichael
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« on: June 25, 2018, 09:17:38 am »

My prediction for the primary is Drew Edmonson on the democrat side and a runoff between Todd lamb and Mick Cornett in August.

If Trump stays popular, Todd Lamb wins and again in November.
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Ibanez
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« Reply #1 on: June 25, 2018, 10:25:29 am »

I think it is going to come down to Edmonson v Cornett. The majority of my Republican friends realize that Lamb is nothing more than Fallin 2.0 and won't vote for him.

They are pretty equally split between Cornett and Stitt with a few liking Gary Jones.
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heironymouspasparagus
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« Reply #2 on: June 25, 2018, 12:08:08 pm »

Decide which is the lowest common denominator, least beneficial for the people of the state, and there is your guy!


I'm betting Cornett...or Lamb if we really wanna be stupid.
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« Reply #3 on: June 25, 2018, 12:32:12 pm »

Cornett vs. Edmonson and Cornett wins.

If Lamb wins in the runoff, then Edmonson will win. Lamb has to own the last eight years. He can only claim to somehow be to the right of Fallin, which uniquely won't play in our state.
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swake
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« Reply #4 on: June 25, 2018, 01:00:18 pm »

I wish Edmonson would win, I hope Cornett will win and I expect Lamb will sadly win.
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rebound
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« Reply #5 on: June 25, 2018, 01:43:49 pm »

I wish Edmonson would win, I hope Cornett will win and I expect Lamb will sadly win.

Right there with you.
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DTowner
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« Reply #6 on: June 25, 2018, 02:24:37 pm »

There is a pretty good chance of it being Stitt and Lamb in a runoff.  Lamb nibbles away enough support from Cornett in OKC area and runs strong in the rural areas (which have significantly increased in Republican registration the past decade), thereby edging out Cornett.  If that happens, Stitt wins the nomination because Lamb can’t distance himself from Fallin.  Stitt (or Lamb or Cornett) beat Edmondson.  Drew’s been out of the game while the state's political landscape has changed and his name no longer carries the weight it once did.
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« Reply #7 on: June 25, 2018, 02:53:55 pm »

Stitt's really weak. I'd be surprised if was anything more than a distant third. Cornett is very strong in OKC.
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Conan71
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« Reply #8 on: June 25, 2018, 09:22:42 pm »

I'm really out of touch so hard for me to predict.  Based on name recognition and signs we saw while in Tulsa last week, Lamb would have the edge.  I have not seen many Cornett signs in Tulsa at all.

Is there another Democrat besides Edmondson running?  I've not seen their signs.

Stitt has spent an insane amount of money for an outsider and I don't see him being able to win.  I too associate Lamb closely with Fallin and perhaps I'm disappointed he never really asserted himself with his security detail to make a name for himself as Lt. Gov. as Fallin did when she was in that position, or one of many.

Guessing it comes down to Cornett and Edmondson in November.  Oklahoma is red enough Cornett wins even though Edmondson may be the pragmatist Oklahoma needs right now to help balance out the batshitcrazy legislature.
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patric
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« Reply #9 on: June 25, 2018, 10:22:09 pm »


Is there another Democrat besides Edmondson running?  I've not seen their signs.


Connie Johnson is the only immediately recognizable name.

http://www.tulsaworld.com/photovideo/slideshows/get-to-know-the-oklahoma-governor-candidates-on-the-primary/collection_f4e928c9-46a0-5296-8ec7-3a49cc4debe4.html
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Ed W
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« Reply #10 on: June 26, 2018, 08:25:46 am »

Can I hold out for Paul Tay? He'd put the cray-cray back in state government

Oh, wait...
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Conan71
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« Reply #11 on: June 26, 2018, 10:13:31 am »

Can I hold out for Paul Tay? He'd put the cray-cray back in state government

Oh, wait...

Maybe Murr Fail was Tay in drag?
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Hoss
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I might be moving to Montana soon...


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« Reply #12 on: June 26, 2018, 10:25:38 am »

Maybe Murr Fail was Tay in drag?

There's an image I'll never unsee.  Thank you.   Roll Eyes
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joiei
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« Reply #13 on: June 26, 2018, 09:08:08 pm »

Looking like Mick, did he even campaign in Tulsa County?, and Drew Edmondson.  Right now Stitt is edging ahead of Lamb for 2nd place.  It's not over till its over. 
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swake
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« Reply #14 on: June 26, 2018, 09:20:55 pm »

I wish Edmonson would win, I hope Cornett will win and I expect Lamb will sadly win.

I was wrong here. Is this state finally waking up?
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