My guess...
49 democrats 50 republicans and one independent (Bernie Sanders of Vermont who caucuses with the Democrats.
Democrats have Joe Biden to resolve ties and retain control of the Senate.
I am so tired of the election cycle. Just make it end. That said, under your scenario, look for Manchin to flip.
Ahem...
http://www.politico.com/story/2014/10/bill-clinton-plugs-kay-hagan-in-nc-112395.html
Quote from: guido911 on November 03, 2014, 12:11:08 PM
Ahem...
http://www.politico.com/story/2014/10/bill-clinton-plugs-kay-hagan-in-nc-112395.html
So,... you seem to be saying Oklahoma IS for sale to the Koch brothers....
I think it'll be a GOP landslide in the senate. I also believe Mary Fallin will win big over Dorman. After the election is when Obama is supposed to grant 34 Million illegal aliens amnesty. That will be a nation-changing event for sure. Let's hope a Republican Congress can do something about stopping that.
Quote from: sauerkraut on November 03, 2014, 02:01:03 PM
I think it'll be a GOP landslide in the senate. I also believe Mary Fallin will win big over Dorman. After the election is when Obama is supposed to grant 34 Million illegal aliens amnesty. That will be a nation-changing event for sure. Let's hope a Republican Congress can do something about stopping that.
If you had been awake anytime in the last 35 years, you would have known that the last two mass amnesties were by bills passed by Congress, and signed by the Presidents - both Republicans.
I cannot wait until this election is over. Sick of hearing about it.
Quote from: guido911 on November 03, 2014, 11:38:25 PM
I cannot wait until this election is over. Sick of hearing about it.
Can't wait to start getting serious about the 2016 election?
;D
Quote from: guido911 on November 03, 2014, 11:38:25 PM
I cannot wait until this election is over. Sick of hearing about it.
Sometime late Thursday maybe.... ISIS and Ebola are both still out there to "entertain" us.....
Quote from: Red Arrow on November 04, 2014, 07:26:59 AM
Can't wait to start getting serious about the 2016 election?
;D
I can't wait!!!
There is an election today?
Quote from: RecycleMichael on November 04, 2014, 09:44:02 AM
There is an election today?
For most of us....for guido and Red, it's tomorrow....
#55 at 7:50 am at my precinct. Seemed like a pretty good turn-out so far in my neck of the woods. I'm going to try and hit seven more by the end of the day.
Quote from: guido911 on November 04, 2014, 09:35:49 AM
I can't wait!!!
Honestly, assuming Hillary runs, the only intellectually interesting piece of 2016 is going to be the GOP primaries. How does the GOP counter her? Go hard-right? Lots of issues there. Go Moderate? Would anybody really believe it?
Clinton herself is such a known quantity that the traditional attacks probably won't work very well except to play to the already-converted hard-right. Her major weakness is her interpersonal style and campaign ability, not specific issues.
Quote from: rebound on November 04, 2014, 10:29:59 AM
Honestly, assuming Hillary runs, the only intellectually interesting piece of 2016 is going to be the GOP primaries. How does the GOP counter her? Go hard-right? Lots of issues there. Go Moderate? Would anybody really believe it?
Clinton herself is such a known quantity that the traditional attacks probably won't work very well except to play to the already-converted hard-right. Her major weakness is her interpersonal style and campaign ability, not specific issues.
But now that Monica is back in the limelight, I would look for the GOP to roll that out. They've already started to a little.
Quote from: Hoss on November 04, 2014, 10:39:53 AM
But now that Monica is back in the limelight, I would look for the GOP to roll that out. They've already started to a little.
She had 14 minutes, 30 seconds of fame many years ago. She has about 30 seconds of fame left...
Quote from: Conan71 on November 04, 2014, 10:04:00 AM
#55 at 7:50 am at my precinct. Seemed like a pretty good turn-out so far in my neck of the woods. I'm going to try and hit seven more by the end of the day.
Slacker!
;D
Quote from: rebound on November 04, 2014, 10:29:59 AM
Honestly, assuming Hillary runs, the only intellectually interesting piece of 2016 is going to be the GOP primaries. How does the GOP counter her?
Her age and affiliation with the current administration.
Quote from: Townsend on November 04, 2014, 12:10:14 PM
Her age and affiliation with the current administration.
Age is legitimate. I had the same concerns about McCain. (But I would probably have voted for McCain, except for his forced choice of VP...)
No doubt the GOP will try to use the current administration against her, but I think just about everyone knows how much the Clinton and Obama camps don't like each other. Watch for Hillary to grow increasingly strident in her criticism of Obama as the race goes on. Having no real challenger in the primaries works to her advantage on this, as she doesn't have to go heavy-negative on Obama until late in the stretch run.
But again, I can see multiple topics that will be tried against her, but they've all been beaten to death by now. Bengahzi is about the only new-ish issue, and even that has been pummeled so hard that I can't see that doing anything besides playing to the GOP base, which wasn't going to vote for here anyway.
I'm not saying she will win, as it's a long way off. Just that I don't think it is going to be a particularly fun or interesting race.
I'm also hoping that Joy will win over Cox, I understand it's a tight race, Joy is just a few points ahead. This election should really be a GOP landslide nation wide, we all have seen and lived thru what 6 years of Obama did to our country. Let's hope we can get the Keystone Pipeline going with a republican congress and stop Obama's amnesty plan cold. :)
This might be the funniest photobomb you'll see all day.
(https://fbcdn-sphotos-d-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-xpf1/v/t1.0-9/p235x350/1471261_789057714467051_2385367896829867636_n.jpg?oh=e83d56736c3c8d5bc91a2a6713a13c97&oe=54F82899&__gda__=1423350046_e8f1c523d64f6f3d51ff30eb65cd56fd)
Quote from: Hoss on November 04, 2014, 02:07:05 PM
This might be the funniest photobomb you'll see all day.
(https://fbcdn-sphotos-d-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-xpf1/v/t1.0-9/p235x350/1471261_789057714467051_2385367896829867636_n.jpg?oh=e83d56736c3c8d5bc91a2a6713a13c97&oe=54F82899&__gda__=1423350046_e8f1c523d64f6f3d51ff30eb65cd56fd)
Is this one legit?
Mo. Gov. Jay Nixon.
(http://blogs.riverfronttimes.com/dailyrft/assets_c/2014/11/nixonbuttcrack-thumb-560x372.jpg)
Quote from: Conan71 on November 04, 2014, 10:04:00 AM
#55 at 7:50 am at my precinct. Seemed like a pretty good turn-out so far in my neck of the woods.
#617 at about 5PM. The workers said it had been fairly busy even in the AM.
It's over. Time to move on. But, there is this:
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/B1p8PiACQAARpC0.jpg)
The president can now return to the links.
Nate Silver had an interesting article this morning showing in spite of the outcome, the polls had a Democrat bias:
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-were-skewed-toward-democrats/
(https://espnfivethirtyeight.files.wordpress.com/2014/11/silver-feature-pollbias-1.png?w=305&h=561)
(https://espnfivethirtyeight.files.wordpress.com/2014/11/silver-feature-pollbias-table-11.png?w=1024)
(https://espnfivethirtyeight.files.wordpress.com/2014/11/silver-feature-pollbias-table-22.png?w=1024)
So, having the historical numbers from the last 25 years kind of answers the question of whether or not the polls are "biased" as in intentionally rigged.
I'd say the historical data leads to No, they arent.
What it shows is how much voter's enthusiasm on voting day affects turnout. The "bias" comes from the voter apathy on the side that believes it is going to be defeated. You had stories coming out the day before the election saying "Republicans have 95% odds of taking the Senate", and even Nate Silver had it at 3 out of 4 yesterday morning.
Projected apathy is probably something the pollsters need to add to their algorithm to get a more accurate prediction of the results, if accuracy is their goal. But that is probably a very volatile element, which can gain momentum quickly, hence it leave polls looking like they were extremely biased.
Prof. Sabato making the way overdue demand.
http://www.breitbart.com/Breitbart-TV/2014/11/05/Sabato-I-Want-an-Investigation-of-the-Polls
The voters do NOT want compromise with Obama, they want Obama and his policies stopped. if the voters wanted compromise and more of this Obama stuff they would of voted in all democrats. This sends a clear message to Washington.
Quote from: sauerkraut on November 06, 2014, 01:22:52 PM
The voters do NOT want compromise with Obama, they want Obama and his policies stopped. if the voters wanted compromise and more of this Obama stuff they would of voted in all democrats. This sends a clear message to Washington.
Wow. Straight mainlining Rush now?
Quote from: Gaspar on November 05, 2014, 08:23:56 AM
The president can now return to the links.
Elections have consequences. Oh wait. No they don't.
Quote from: RecycleMichael on October 22, 2014, 06:53:24 PM
My guess...
49 democrats 50 republicans and one independent (Bernie Sanders of Vermont who caucuses with the Democrats.
Democrats have Joe Biden to resolve ties and retain control of the Senate.
Off by 4...Landrieu out.
Quote from: guido911 on December 06, 2014, 11:12:24 PM
Off by 4...Landrieu out.
Louisiana is just like Oklahoma...they can't catch a break! Welcome, LA, to our low standing in so many areas....
They had a serious Catch 22 going on....both choices were horrendous. Either one will continue the bringing of bad things to that state!