They are predicting 4 to 6 inches of rain on Thursday/Friday this week. That is probably enough to wash the Expo Square clean from the carnival worker residue.
I am amazed to hear that meteorologists in Oklahoma are predicting "100% chance of rain." Indeed, I'm not sure I've ever heard anybody say that. Even when you look outside and it's pouring, they say: "good chance of rain today."
I thought 100% was reserved for death and taxes. Ever since Will Rogers made his famous statement about weather in Oklahoma, I think our meteorologists have been hedging their bets with phrases like "partly cloudy."
By the way, shouldn't a "meteorologist" be predicting meteor showers? What do meteors have to do with weather? Did early meteorologists spend their days looking at the sky for meteors, but when folks noticed that they were always looking up, they started asking about the weather? ("Looks like rain, eh?")
And since rain fell to earth more often than meteors...
Quote from: PonderInc on October 07, 2009, 11:35:49 AM
Ever since Will Rogers made his famous statement about weather in Oklahoma, I think our meteorologists have been hedging their bets with phrases like "partly cloudy."
As an off topic side-note . . . they have the exact same saying in every other state I've ever been in. Well, that's not entirely true, but I can recall hearing it at least in Washington (rain, no rain), New Mexico (three weeks ago), Iowa (many times), Minnesota (in relation to snow levels), Illinois (lake effect weather), Missouri (same as OK), Florida (sun, rain, sun), and Kansas (same as OK). I have to wonder if Will Rogers was the first to say it and everyone else stole it or if it was common before and he popularize it.
/back on topic, or not.
Quote from: PonderInc on October 07, 2009, 11:35:49 AM
By the way, shouldn't a "meteorologist" be predicting meteor showers? What do meteors have to do with weather?
Meteors are the real cause of global climate change, therefore the amount of rain will be certain.
I am organizing a rain dance tonight. We are usually effective.
The secret to a good rain dance is timing.
Quote from: PonderInc on October 07, 2009, 11:35:49 AM
I am amazed to hear that meteorologists in Oklahoma are predicting "100% chance of rain." Indeed, I'm not sure I've ever heard anybody say that.
The NWS gives a "100 percent" forecast it every few weeks or so. It's usually a case in which it's such a big storm system developing that there's no chance of it missing us, or there's a line of storms approaching from the next county over, less than an hour away.
Big rain coming ... cue up shadows complaining about the storm drainage tax.
Stormgasm coming on channels 2, 6, 8, & 23
Quote from: Conan71 on October 07, 2009, 02:02:10 PM
Stormgasm coming on channels 2, 6, 8, & 23
Not so sure of that since it appears that we won't have any severe weather out of this. But this is a tropical-type storm. The QPF coming out of this (it's a fancy way to forecast the amount of water that can be squeezed out of a parcel of air based on atmospheric conditions) for the next 24 hours is 3 inches. That doesn't happen too often. So we could see upwards of 3-5 inches in a 24 hour period. Better than getting 4 inches in 45 minutes like I did last week or so.
Guess I'll have to watch my storm drain again.
Quote from: Hoss on October 07, 2009, 02:55:46 PM
Not so sure of that since it appears that we won't have any severe weather out of this. But this is a tropical-type storm. The QPF coming out of this (it's a fancy way to forecast the amount of water that can be squeezed out of a parcel of air based on atmospheric conditions) for the next 24 hours is 3 inches. That doesn't happen too often. So we could see upwards of 3-5 inches in a 24 hour period. Better than getting 4 inches in 45 minutes like I did last week or so.
Guess I'll have to watch my storm drain again.
Watch the cuda across the street. If it gets close I'm coming over with a tow cable.
Quote from: sgrizzle on October 07, 2009, 03:10:27 PM
Watch the cuda across the street. If it gets close I'm coming over with a tow cable.
Might bring some bumpers and nav lights
I remember someone telling me that a 70% chance of rain really means a 70% chance of rain occurring somewhere within the broadcast area. Thus, they can still be right if it doesn't rain at all at 21st & Lewis, but pours down at 71st. Is that correct? If so predictions could be made by looking at the clouds from nearby Lookout mountain. Save the radar expense. ;)
Quote from: waterboy on October 07, 2009, 03:29:31 PM
I remember someone telling me that a 70% chance of rain really means a 70% chance of rain occurring somewhere within the broadcast area. Thus, they can still be right if it doesn't rain at all at 21st & Lewis, but pours down at 71st. Is that correct? If so predictions could be made by looking at the clouds from nearby Lookout mountain. Save the radar expense. ;)
I think the definition has changed over time. I took a course in meteorology back when dirt was still rocks. At that time, the professor explained that a 70% chance of rain meant that the forecast was for rain with a 70% probability of being correct.
Quote from: sgrizzle on October 07, 2009, 03:10:27 PM
Watch the cuda across the street. If it gets close I'm coming over with a tow cable.
Not this time, it's gone...maybe he wised up or sold it.
Quote from: Red Arrow on October 07, 2009, 06:37:07 PM
I think the definition has changed over time. I took a course in meteorology back when dirt was still rocks. At that time, the professor explained that a 70% chance of rain meant that the forecast was for rain with a 70% probability of being correct.
Technically, what NWS forecasters have told me, is that it means that 70 percent of the forecast area will have precip, not that there is a 70 percent chance of rain.
But yes, that could have changed too as I was told this about five years ago.
I thought, too, it was a 70% chance of any point withinin the forecast zone receiving rain, snow, blood or plague of locusts.
10:00 A.M. : Light rain falling. Arc not even close to floating yet. Having difficulty getting the male lion to stop humping the male tiger - who is too busy eating the male Giraffe I loaded last night. On a related note: having difficulty getting a new male giraffe.
Quote from: cannon_fodder on October 08, 2009, 10:06:26 AM
10:00 A.M. : Light rain falling. Arc not even close to floating yet. Having difficulty getting the male lion to stop humping the male tiger - who is too busy eating the male Giraffe I loaded last night. On a related note: having difficulty getting a new male giraffe.
Don't sweat it, I think you've still got time to find another giraffe. Might be next spring before you need that ark.
Hell, I think a lot of people have already given up on this big flood. I keep seeing these "Ark Wrecking" trucks all over town.
Good choice on a rainy day, I salute you sir!
More damn hippies:
4:00 P.M.: Rain is starting to pick up now. Concerns and water level rising. Managed to acquire an additional male giraffe. The zoo staff is pissed and they have called the police . . . I'm going to feel bad when that guy with the bullhorn drowns to death but I already have myself and 7 women on board and that's too many humans as it is. In other news: the female praying mantis ate the male.
4:30 - Water level beginning to rise, arc still not floating. There have been two tragic developments: the female praying mantis has eaten the head of the male praying mantis. Additionally I fear I have finally doomed the Rhino as apparently a wooden hulled arc can not hold them. The male has released himself from his pen through the side of the arc and I fear he will certainly drown. As an unintended benefit the police officer with the loudspeaker seems more concerned with the Rhino bashing his car than the male giraffe I saved. Repairs have begun on the Rhino sized hole.
Quote from: cannon_fodder on October 08, 2009, 04:30:05 PM
I already have myself and 7 women on board ...
If you need help...
Quote from: RecycleMichael on October 08, 2009, 06:40:39 PM
If you need help...
May God bless you for your willingness (and selflessness) to help.
Quote from: RecycleMichael on October 08, 2009, 06:40:39 PM
If you need help...
Now remember, he didn't say if the women were in the least bit attractive
Quote from: custosnox on October 08, 2009, 06:58:04 PM
Now remember, he didn't say if the women were in the least bit attractive
After 40 days they will be attractive...
Quote from: Conan71 on October 08, 2009, 07:28:58 PM
After 40 days they will be attractive...
............just like at a bar at closing time.
Quote from: unreliablesource on October 08, 2009, 07:30:16 PM
............just like at a bar at closing time.
Ahhh, he didn't mention having kegs of homebrew on board, but knowing CF, I'm sure there is. Those women will look smoking hot in a couple of hours.
THIS FORUM IS GETTING WEAKER AND WEAKER ALL THE TIME.
BOYS!!!! That's ENOUGH!
(as I am snickering...you guys are too much!)
on a related note, the zoo seems to have gotten another giraffe. Too bad it's the female
http://www.newson6.com/global/story.asp?s=11286846
For the Eddie Izzard fans out there...
"Noah, I want you to build an ark...with a big room for poo."
In all seriousness, driving home today I noticed the Illinois River in Arkansas was rather high. As high as I've ever seen it anyway. There's this fireworks warehouse on the south side of 412 just to the west of the river's crossing. It looked like the water was lapping at its foundation. Normally it's several hundred feet from the (rather small at that point) river.