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April 25, 2024, 02:25:53 am
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Author Topic: Your Swing-State Predictions  (Read 17451 times)
Gaspar
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« on: November 05, 2012, 08:30:41 am »

For what it's worth.

Indiana Romney.

North Carolina  Romney.

Florida   Romney.

Ohio  Romney.

Virginia   Romney.

Colorado   Romney.

Iowa   Romney.

Minnesota   Obama.

New Hampshire   Romney.

Pennsylvania   Romney.

Nevada   Obama.

Wisconsin   Romney.

Oregon  Obama.

New Mexico Obama.

Michigan  Obama.

Romney 300+ EVs.  I think the cut will look something like this.


Democrat voter motivation is very low, and motivation among Republicans and Independents is very high. 

Tonight is going to be a nail-biter.
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Hoss
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« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2012, 08:31:51 am »

I want some of what you're smokin' dude...

Oh, the election is tomorrow...Wednesday if you're a Republican...

 Grin
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Libertarianism is a system of beliefs for people who think adolescence is the epitome of human achievement.

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Somebody find Guido an ambulance to chase...
Conan71
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« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2012, 08:40:50 am »

You can be sure if Obama loses it will be due to voter fraud which is nonexistent.  It will be funny watching the media circle jerk.
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"It has been said that politics is the second oldest profession. I have learned that it bears a striking resemblance to the first” -Ronald Reagan
Gaspar
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« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2012, 08:44:28 am »

You can be sure if Obama loses it will be due to voter fraud which is nonexistent.  It will be funny watching the media circle jerk.

I think there will definitely be some excellent blamestorming, but I doubt it will be received very well.  I think we as a nation have become rather weary of the president's blame games.

Good article.
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1112/83301.html#ixzz2BMMJkpwg
« Last Edit: November 05, 2012, 08:47:02 am by Gaspar » Logged

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carltonplace
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« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2012, 08:52:34 am »

And if you're correct that Mr Romney will be the new president we will soon grow tired of his constant lies. I thought Christians believed in the truth.
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Townsend
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« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2012, 08:55:15 am »

I thought Christians believed in the truth.

Faith, it's different than truth.

You probably never hear something like "That's why they call it a truth."

Anyway, remember Gaspar's talent for seeing the future.  It doesn't exist.
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Conan71
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« Reply #6 on: November 05, 2012, 09:15:51 am »

And if you're correct that Mr Romney will be the new president we will soon grow tired of his constant lies. I thought Christians believed in the truth.

Did I ever say I was a Christian?  Grin
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carltonplace
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« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2012, 09:27:37 am »

Morman = Christian
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swake
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« Reply #8 on: November 05, 2012, 09:38:57 am »

Virginia: - 13
Last four polls, three for Obama and one (Rasmussen) for Romney
I predict an Obama win
Ohio: - 18
Last six polls five favor Obama and the other is a tie
Win for Obama
 New Hampshire - 4
Last six polls five favor Obama and the other is a tie
Win for Obama
Wisconsin - 10
Last five polls four favor Obama and the other (Rasmussen again) is a tie
Win for Obama
 Iowa - 6
Last six polls five favor Obama and the other (Rasmussen!!) has Romney
Win for Obama
 Nevada - 6
Last six polls all favor Obama
Win for Obama
Colorado - 9
Last five polls three favor Obama and two for Romney (one being Rasmussen), Obama’s numbers are better
Narrow win for Obama

North Carolina - 15
Last five polls three favor Romney and two are a tie
Win for Romney
Florida: - 29
Last four polls, two for each. Romney has bigger numbers in the polls he is favored in.
I predict a narrow win for Romney
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Gaspar
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« Reply #9 on: November 05, 2012, 10:54:29 am »

Looks like the early voting in CO is going for Romney by about a 2% margin.
http://content.govdelivery.com/attachments/COSOS/2012/11/05/file_attachments/173362/Gen%2BTurnout%2B11%2B05%2B2012.pdf
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dioscorides
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« Reply #10 on: November 05, 2012, 11:04:13 am »

I am sticking with my Obama 303 Romney 235 prediction:

Indiana - Romney
North Carolina - Romney
Florida - Romney
Ohio - Obama
Virginia - Obama
Colorado - Obama
Iowa - Obama
Minnesota - Obama
New Hampshire - Obama.
Pennsylvania - Obama
Nevada - Obama
Wisconsin - Obama
Oregon - Obama
New Mexico - Obama
Michigan - Obama
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There is an ancient Celtic axiom that says 'Good people drink good beer.' Which is true, then as now. Just look around you in any public barroom and you will quickly see: bad people drink bad beer. Think about it. - Hunter S. Thompson
swake
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« Reply #11 on: November 05, 2012, 11:42:02 am »


Where do you see that in your PDF?
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Oil Capital
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« Reply #12 on: November 05, 2012, 11:53:14 am »

Where do you see that in your PDF?

In the Grand Total row.  You have to do a little math, but it's there.

Total Vote:    1,707,805
Total Dem. vote:  590,417   34.6% of total
Total Republ. vote:  624,788  36.6% of total
« Last Edit: November 05, 2012, 11:55:33 am by Oil Capital » Logged

 
TylerBGoode
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« Reply #13 on: November 05, 2012, 11:53:24 am »

Morman = Christian

Since when?
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swake
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« Reply #14 on: November 05, 2012, 11:54:57 am »

In the Grand Total row.  You have to do a little math, but it's there.

There have been no votes counted.
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