The Tulsa Forum by TulsaNow

You can be sure if Obama loses it will be due to voter fraud which is nonexistent.  It will be funny watching the media circle jerk.

I thought Christians believed in the truth.

And if you're correct that Mr Romney will be the new president we will soon grow tired of his constant lies. I thought Christians believed in the truth.

Looks like the early voting in CO is going for Romney by about a 2% margin.
http://content.govdelivery.com/attachments/COSOS/2012/11/05/file_attachments/173362/Gen%2BTurnout%2B11%2B05%2B2012.pdf

Where do you see that in your PDF?

Morman = Christian

In the Grand Total row.  You have to do a little math, but it's there.

There have been no votes counted.

We know.  And you can surely understand what the poster meant.  

Since when?

Current Pittsburg early voting totals showing a 5% lead to Republicans.
http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2012.html

Apparently you missed the memo.  Statistics favoring Romney are meaningless.  ;-)

Apparently you missed the memo.  Statistics favoring Romney are meaningless.  ;-)

Interestingly, in North Carolina and Florida Democratic and Independent early voting turnout is up a little from 08, while Republican turnout is basically flat. That does not bode well for the polling being correct. Although I think Romney will still win NC I think it may end up being closer than expected. Florida will be a nail biter.

According to the United States Election Project, in North Carolina, Democrat, Republican and Independent turnout are all down from 08 (the Dems down slightly less than the Republicans and independents).

Huh? The North Carolina early vote percentages are:

2012: Dem 47.7% Rep 31.4% None/Other 20.9%
2008: Dem 47.4% Rep 31.6% None/Other 21%

Early vote totals are about 50,000 short of '08 (or 1.7%), though.

Florida early voting appears to have increased slightly from '08 and leans slightly more towards Democrats this year. That said, I still think Florida and NC will likely go Romney thanks to a higher crossover vote in Romney's favor. (according to opinion polls, anyway) I'm sticking with 290 on the belief that Obama will pull out wins in NV, CO, IA, OH, and NH. CO, VA, and FL are all too close to call. Hispanics in CO lean Obama enough that I think he'll win there despite the very close race. I don't think the same will hold true in Florida. Polls have consistently showed Obama's support among Hispanics below 60% in FL.

Overall, I find little to quibble with in that blog post except that the race isn't close if it's not close in Ohio, where polling clearly shows Obama up 3 and has for weeks. If Obama wins the usual suspects plus Ohio and Nevada, he's at 271 without any of Colorado, Iowa, New Hampshire, Virginia, North Carolina, or Florida. To win, Romney must win at least one state where he's down by 3 or more. That doesn't strike me as a close race. I think the popular vote will be more competitive, but we don't elect Presidents based on popular vote (yet).

Ah, I see now. :D

Glad I've been sticking with 290. ;)

You can be sure if Obama loses it will be due to voter fraud which is nonexistent.  It will be funny watching the media circle jerk.

;-)  You may want to recount your electoral vote projection.

As expected!

Early & Absentee count from Ohio so far.  Strong shift to Romney.

http://news.cincinnati.com/article/20121106/NEWS010601/311060015/?nclick_check=1

Today is Nov. 6, which means it's Election Day. It also means that Nate Silver's much-debated "forecast" and "now-cast" are now one and the same. Here are the latest (and we assume final) projections from the New York Times' polling blogger and psephologist, whose ongoing forecast has become one of the leading secondary storylines this campaign season as much of Washington's chattering class refused to believe this race is/was anything but a toss-up.

Electoral vote: President Obama 314.6, Mitt Romney 223.4. That's a 15.6-vote swing since Oct. 20, and the president's largest advantage in Silver's forecast since Sept. 10, when Obama was projected to win 314.9 electoral votes to Romney's 223.1

Popular vote: Obama 50.9 percent, Romney 48.3 percent. That's a half-point gain for Obama (and a 0.2 drop for Romney) in the past week. Obama's never trailed in Silver's forecasted popular vote, but hasn't topped the 51.6 percent mark since the forecast began early this summer.

Chances of winning: Obama 91.6 percent, Romney 8.4 percent. The final forecast gives the president his best chance of winning that he's had all season in Silvers' Nov. 6 forecast. Previously, Obama's best odds had topped out at 87.1 percent on Oct. 4. Silver's now-cast, meanwhile—which is supposed to provide a snapshot of where the president stands on a particular day (and not where it would likely stand on Election Day)—gave Obama a 98.1 percent chance of winning back on Sept. 30.

It's worth noting that as Silver's critics became louder during the campaign's final days, his projections did not hedge toward the center, something that (intentionally or not) would have given him more cover if Romney ends up winning the election. Instead, over the past seven days Silver's forecast for Obama's chances of victory increased by 14.2 percent (his now-cast likewise climbed by 12.1 percent).

Silver's confidence in an Obama victory stems heavily from the president's prospects in Ohio, a battleground state that Romney likely needs to win to have any chance at pulling off the upset. Silver's latest calculations give the president a 91.4 percent chance of taking the Buckeye State.

Intrade, the popular online gambling website, predicts that President Obama will win re-election. As of 8 a.m. EST Tuesday, this map reflects predictions based on "the last trade prices for each market,"

Over the weekend, Will Bunch checked in with the pathetic remnant of clowns who call themselves the "New Black Panther Party." Would they show up again at polling places in Philadelphia? Would they give that free b-roll to Fox News?

Yes, they would.

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=-7rkSmdDIIU[/youtube]

The Panthers are so stupid that they deployed to the same site they hit in 2008: The 4th district of Philadelphia's 14th ward. Very few of the people who hyperventilate about this story have been to the polling place and check out its vote. I have. The precinct, located in a retirement home, gave 596 votes to Barack Obama in 2008. It gave 13 votes to John McCain. Four years earlier, it had given 24 votes to George W. Bush. It's a heavily black, Democratic area, which is why -- four years after the first Fox freakout -- no one has ever emerged to say he or she wanted to vote but was suppressed by the Panthers. And hell, in 2008, the Panthers had nightsticks. There's one guy now, armed with nothing.
Let's be serious about this. One month ago, a court struck down part of Pennsylvania's voter ID law. Voters in the state do not have to show ID, though poll workers may ask for it. Since then, the state has continued to run ads that tell voters to come to polls with ID -- "SHOW IT" in large print, "if you have it in small print." It's likely that legitimate voters who lack multiple forms of ID have seen this, and assumed it'll be tougher to vote today.

But it's boring to talk about a bogus campaign to complicate the vote in the entire state. It's exciting to show a scary-looking black dude on TV, and imply to the Fox News viewer that another scary trooper -- maybe a UN worker! -- is laying in wait at his polling place.

As expected!

Early & Absentee count from Ohio so far.  Strong shift to Romney.

http://news.cincinnati.com/article/20121106/NEWS010601/311060015/?nclick_check=1

Removed?

According to USEP (http://"http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2012.html"), early voting turnout was up in the usual Democratic counties.

ROFL.  Why isn't that surprising...

Debbie Wasserman Schultz said today that if President Obama is not re-elected she is going back on tour with Twisted Sister.

Let's see what happens after the Democrats take their turn at the polls tomorrow.

always funny