When I was speaking of Cruz being a “reasonable choice” that’s to the Tea Party faction he’s a reasonable choice. To the GOP establishment types, Rubio is the "reasonable choice."
I respect Nate Silver, he’s got an outstanding record with his prognostications. Let’s see what happens when the GOP clown car finally is down to one occupant. Do you see any scenario where Bernie could get nominated if Hilarity isn’t indicted first (yes, I know, pissing in the wind)? I think there are too many people still of the impression that Trump won’t be the GOP nominee. Let’s see how electable he looks when all other possibilities from the GOP side have been quashed. That’s pretty much what Silver’s article is saying in the first place.
Nope, Sanders has little to no chance. He's going to lose South Carolina by 20+ points and then Super Tuesday looks to be a complete wipeout for him and he's already way behind with Super Delegates before losing a whole bunch of states by huge margins.
I got this from RealClearPolitics:
Super Tuesday State, if the polls are current and how many polls are current:
National DEM – current poll x6 Clinton +6Georgia - current x3 Clinton +38
Texas - current x3 Clinton +16
Minnesota – semi-current Clinton +34
Oklahoma – current x2 Clinton +9
Alabama – current Clinton +28
Arkansas current x2 Clinton +28
Tennessee - current Clinton +26
Colorado – no current poll
Vermont – current x2 Sanders +76
Massachusetts – current x2 Sanders +3
Trump looks unbeatable too, though a little less so:
National GOP – current poll x5 Trump +13Georgia - current x2 Trump +11
Texas - current x2 Cruz +4
Massachusetts – current Trump +34
Minnesota – semi-current Rubio +2
Oklahoma – current Trump +8
Alabama – no current poll
Arkansas – semi-current Cruz +4
Tennessee - no current poll
Colorado – no current poll
Virginia – current Trump +6
Alaska – semi-current Trump +4
Vermont – current Trump +15